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9/16/03
Transportation
Cost Trends
Compiled
by:
Erik Kruse, SCRC |
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Supply
chain managers know that the cost of fuel and
the cost of labor are important determinants of
the cost of transportation services. Recently
however, seemingly less obvious but important
transportation service cost factors have gained
the attention of logistics management professionals.
A notable few are security and the consolidation
trend.
Fuel
What do the four modes of transportation (trucking,
rail, water and air) have in common? They all
need fuel. The effect of fuel prices, then, is
obvious. If the price of fuel goes up, so does
the price of transportation. Many sources provide
information that can be used to gain an understanding
of fuel pricing trends. The Department
of Energys website serves this purpose
well. It provides a wealth of high-level fuel
information. U.S. and Canadian gasoline prices
are also monitored on nearly real time
websites like gasbuddy.com.
However, as was noted in The Wall Street Journal,
because the sites rely on volunteers, listings
in some cities are patchy (1).
Labor
The cost of labor is another obvious factor in
the pricing of transportation services. According
to a recent Logistics Management article, wages
in 2002 were inflated 2.3% in trucking, 6.9% in
water transportation and 5.3% in warehousing (2).
This type of data can be confirmed at the U.S.
Department of Labors Bureau
of Labor Statistics website.
Security
Since the events of September 11, 2001, there
has been a greater focus on increasing security
in the transportation industry and much discussion
regarding the effects of imposed regulation. But,
as noted in another recent Logistics Management
article, despite all the talk, decisions are still
driven by profits, not security (3).
In fact, many U.S. motor carriers have long deployed
sophisticated security technology to ward off
thefts and improve efficiency (3). Indeed, one
transportation CEO was quoted in Logistics Management:
beginning in 1994, we had 100 percent of
our fleet on GPS (global positioning system) tracking
systems. From pickup to delivery we knew exactly
where everything was. The article goes on
to quote another CEO in the radio-frequency tag
business: The bottom line for carriers in
all modes is what dictates their spending on security
technology. The honest truth is that, while a
lot of people like to talk about security, if
it doesnt come for free with productivity
enhancers, people arent interested (3).
But
people do become interested when it is the law.
In fact, Robert Bonner, U.S. Customs commissioner,
was quoted by MSI: Combating terrorism is
our number one priority (4). A notable example
is the 24-hour rule, which has required overseas
shippers to send a manifest electronically to
the U.S. Customs Service 24 hours before the vessel
leaves it port. As noted in the MSI article, buyers
used to receive overseas goods in containers described
simply as freight of all kinds. Companies
didnt have to report the incoming materials
until the ship was at sea. The fax was considered
advanced technology. The imposition of the
24-hour rule on Dec. 2, 2002 changed that.
Consolidation
Trucking services, in particular, are being affected
by a consolidation trend. In April, Logistics
Management editors wrote that they expect
for small truckers to head for bankruptcy in record
numbers, and the remaining carriers will enjoy
some negation leverage as a result. For
this reason, they expect trucking prices to rise
further when the economy picks up (2). For more
information regarding the transportation outsourcing
trend, see related SCRC Features Finding
a Place for Logistics Management and
Transportation
Outsourcing Decisions.
References:
(1) Turner, R. (March, 2003). Finding Better Gas
Prices. The Wall Street Journal.
(2) Anonymous.
(March, 2003). Price Trends. Logistics Management.
(3) Spiegel, R. (March, 2003). What Price Security?
Logistics Management.
(4) Spiegel, R. (May 8, 2003). The 24-hour hurdle.
MSI
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