|
3/31/03
Longer Warranties:
Jacking
up sales or costs?
by
Erik Kruse, SCRC |
|
| |
In
2000, the Big Three automakers annual
warranty costs were around $6 billion, or
averaged roughly $500 per unit in North America
(1) |
|
90% of automotive suppliers say they believe
automakers are increasing their focus on analyzing
these costs (2). |
|
But 69% of automotive suppliers say they dont
get enough information on warranty chargebacks
and 50% say they arent sure who has
responsibility for design (2). |
An
automakers success depends upon the performance
of the entire value chain. Only changes in the
supplier / automaker relationship that are mutually
beneficial will result in profits that are sustainable
in the long run. Excelling in the competitive
automotive industry requires cooperation throughout
the entire value chain. Suppliers report seeing
an increase in automakers focus on warranty
cost analysis and the resulting warranty chargeback(2).
Many believe that OEMs are down-shifting design
responsibility and financial risk. In fact, a
major fear of suppliers is that warranty costs
will be charged to the supplier without necessarily
knowing the root cause. They believe that there
may be a failure to differentiate between actual
part defects and system related failures (2).
The warranty cost of $500 per car sold by the
Big Three was quite high relative to the Japanese
producers warranty cost, which may have
been lower than $75 per unit (1). Clearly, warranty
costs can hurt profits. Despite this fact, Chrysler
upped its three-year, 36,000-mile power-train
warranty coverage to transferable, seven-year,
70,000-mile coverage in July of 2002. Will this
move hurt the companys profits? Without
significant improvements in operations throughout
the supply chain, it may.
The intended effect of establishing the longer
warranty was to boost the resale value of Chryslers
vehicles and the related demand for new auto sales.
It takes about five years for the high resale
value message to permeate the market (3). Chryslers
decision to lengthen the warranty was prudent
if their $7.5 billion investment (3) in new power-train
development drastically improves quality, which
in 5 years results in a higher resale value, which
in turn results in an increase in sales and related
profitability (to the extent that it offsets added
warranty cost).
Although it is probably too early for the marketplace
to pass judgment on Chryslers decision,
the changes the corporation has made in an attempt
to shrink the gap on the competition have apparently
resulted in some quality improvements. In September
of 2002, Quality Magazine quoted Chrysler Group
President and CEO Dieter Zetsche: Our overall
quality levels have improved substantially, while
warranty costs have dropped 20% in the latest
model year, and have been cut in half since 1996
(4).
This may be counterintuitive, but it doesnt
necessarily take more time to build a quality
product in the automotive industry. In fact, according
to the Harbour Report, Harbour and Associates
annual guide to automotive manufacturing performance
in North America, improvements in quality (a decrease
in the number of defects) go hand-in-hand with
improvements in manufacturing performance (an
increase in productivity) (5).
But
at the time of the Harbour Report, Chrysler was
the least efficient assembler in North America.
The company averaged 30.8 assembly hours per vehicle.
That seems like an eternity when compared with
Nissan, the fastest assembler, which had an average
of 17.9 assembly hours per vehicle (6). Does that
mean that, overall, Chrysler produced vehicles
of the lowest quality and Nissan the highest?
Ron Harbour, President of Harbour and Associates,
states
companies that are truly working
on quality are likely to be putting in manufacturing
systems in which error-proofing and other quality
procedures are implemented at every step of the
production process. The result is fewer hours
for repair and rework, which improves both productivity
and quality results (5). Assembly productivity
may be one indication of the quality that is built
into a vehicle, but it certainly isnt the
only one.
Furthermore, productivity may be a necessary condition
for profitability, but alone it is insufficient.
In fact, labor accounts for only 10 to 15 percent
of the actual costs in a vehicle (7). Additionally,
sales, which of course are very important to automakers,
arent directly dependent upon productivity
numbers. In other words, customers generally do
not purchase a vehicle because they are happy
with the number of assembly hours that went into
it. But sales are closely related to the customers
perception of value, and quality is a factor that
is built into that perception. Remember, Mr. Harbour
stated that companies are implementing error-proofing
and quality procedures at every step of
the production process (5). He did not say
every step of the assembly process.
An automakers focus should be on increasing
the quality and productivity of the entire value
chain.
Naturally, automotive manufacturers are looking
to gain ground on their competitors. They aim
to improve their value chains both in terms of
productivity and quality. Mr. Harbour further
notes that companies that improve upon their ability
to design-for-manufacture will require fewer resources
to produce higher quality products. In addition,
better coordination of process engineering and
product design reduces the need for in-line inspections
(5). This will require cooperation on the part
of automakers and their suppliers. The end result
will increase warranty coverage that jacks-up
sales more than it jacks-up costs.
References:
(1) Allen, R. (June, 2001). Lean: A Suppliers
Weapon Against Warranty Costs. Manufacturing Engineering.
(2)
Truett, R. (December, 2002). Survey Says Cooperation
Is Key to Cutting Vehicle Warranty Cost. Automotive
News.
(3) Greenberg, K. (December, 2002). Chrysler Gets
Radical to Boost Image by Planning to Make Better
Vehicles. Brandweek.
(4) Extended Warranties Signal Vehicle Quality.
(September, 2002). Quality Magazine.
(5) Harbour, R. (July, 2002). The Big Story. Automotive
Industies.
(6) Winter, D. (July, 2002). Efficiency Scoreboard.
WARDs AutoWorld.
(7) Slater, D. (February, 2002). Dont be
fooled by productivity. Automotive News
top
|